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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

2.5% (24h)One-OffRussia / Ukraine6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
December 31
December 31 47%-4.0%
En tête parmi 9 options
Qualite du marche

73 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

5,9 k €

Liquidité

27,2 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

7.0% / 8.0%

Spread

14.3%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes

22 juil. 25, 21:4131 déc. 26, 23:55

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
December 31
December 31
0%
November 30
November 30
0%
March 31
March 31
0%
January 31
January 31
0%

Résultat choisi

December 3147%

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Lyman railroad station located on Vulytsya Pryvokzalʹna by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map.
  • An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify.
  • Actual control must be established.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Lyman railroad station located on Vulytsya Pryvokzalʹna by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map.
  • An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify.
  • Actual control must be established.