PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 97%+0.3pt
Qualité du marché
72 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
76,4 €
Liquidité
52,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
2.9% / 3.0%
Écart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
5 nov. 25, 18:17 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)
PolymarketWill Trump visit North Korea by which date?
PolymarketKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill North Korea resume its nuclear tests in 2026?
FutuurKim Jong-Un still Supreme Leader of North Korea through the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marchés ouverts
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+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 423,4 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-1.0pt13%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 95,4 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA-0.1pt7%
- International Court of Justice+1.1pt6%
+17 résultats de plus
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.