PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: October 31
Résolu: 19 oct. 2026, 08:07
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
October 31
À 7 jours
—
À 24 heures
78%
ConsensusAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 19 oct. 2026, 08:05 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
October 31100%
October 31Gagné
October 15Perdu
September 30Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Is Alex going to resolve his market about Russia's drone attack on Poland fairly?
Manifold MarketsWill Plesetsk cosmodrome got hit with drone/missile by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a NATO aircraft shoot down a missile or drone fired towards a target in Ukraine before 2027?
Manifold MarketsUkraine damages Kremlin with drone or missile before Russia-Ukraine war ends?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia invade another country by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a NATO military downs another Russian drone by any means (kinetic, jammer, etc.) between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM Kyiv Time.
- A “Russian drone” refers to any drone that, based on a consensus of credible reporting, was launched from territory under Russia’s de facto control or was operated or directed by Russian forces.
- Where attribution remains ambiguous, the drone’s model and characteristics will be considered supporting evidence.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying incident will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources.
- Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant incident, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the incident based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (CEST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the incident.