PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 81%-1.0pt
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
7,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
18.0% / 20.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+1.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
8 juil. 26, 01:18 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
- Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
- The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour China ballistic missile launch by December 31? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 81% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand China ballistic missile launch by December 31? sera-t-il résolu ?
- China ballistic missile launch by December 31? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment China ballistic missile launch by December 31? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.