PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 23%
Qualite du marche
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
305,4 €
Liquidité
1,8 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
20.0% / 25.0%
Spread
25.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
8 juil. 26, 1:1831 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes23%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
- Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
- The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.