Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)
GéopolitiqueOne-OffRussia / UkraineManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 66.1%
Prévisionnistes
265
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète19 mai 22, 12:55 UTC24 déc. 53, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ukraine accept a peace deal that cedes contested land in Donetsk and/or Luhansk?
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FutuurRègles
This market is resolved when a permanent peace treaty is signed between Ukrainian and Russian governments, or the total capitulation of either side.
- Sep 29, 9:44pm: added capitulation clause.
- Oct 1, 12:37pm: A temporary ceasefire that lasts over a year without casualties, while Russia still occupies the territories in question will resolve market to YES.
- Close date updated to 2025-12-23 11:59 pm
- Close date updated to 2053-12-23 11:59 pm
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk) ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 66% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk) doit être résolu le 24 décembre 2053.
- Comment Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market is resolved when a permanent peace treaty is signed between Ukrainian and Russian governments, or the total capitulation of either side.