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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. What will be included in the Iran-US peace deal?
Manifold Markets

What will be included in the Iran-US peace deal?

PolitiqueIAGéopolitique6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Manifold Markets
Opening of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz without tolls. 95.3%
En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes

15

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 8 heures

Obsolète
8 avr. 26, 0:561 janv. 27, 1:40

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Opening of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz without tolls.95%

Règles

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve based on the official outcome of the current diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran regarding a long-term peace agreement, during or after the two-week ceasefire period initiated on April 7, 2026.
  • If no peace deal is reached by the end of 2026, the options on what will be included resolve NO.
  • As of April 8, 2026, the United States and Iran have entered a two-week ceasefire mediated by Pakistan.
  • This pause in military hostilities follows weeks of escalating tensions, during which President Donald Trump issued multiple threats to target Iranian critical infrastructure—specifically bridges and power plants—unless Iran agreed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and enter into a long-term peace agreement.
  • President Trump has characterized the current 10-point proposal from Iran as a "workable basis" for negotiation and has stated that both the U.S. and Iran are "very far along" in drafting a definitive agreement.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Actualités Associées

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Règles

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve based on the official outcome of the current diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran regarding a long-term peace agreement, during or after the two-week ceasefire period initiated on April 7, 2026.
  • If no peace deal is reached by the end of 2026, the options on what will be included resolve NO.
  • As of April 8, 2026, the United States and Iran have entered a two-week ceasefire mediated by Pakistan.
  • This pause in military hostilities follows weeks of escalating tensions, during which President Donald Trump issued multiple threats to target Iranian critical infrastructure—specifically bridges and power plants—unless Iran agreed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and enter into a long-term peace agreement.
  • President Trump has characterized the current 10-point proposal from Iran as a "workable basis" for negotiation and has stated that both the U.S. and Iran are "very far along" in drafting a definitive agreement.