Will there be Israeli settlements in Gaza on Dec 31st, 2035?
One-OffGéopolitiqueMiddle EastPolitique9a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 57.2%
Prévisionnistes
38
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard30 mai 24, 15:38 UTC31 déc. 35, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if any inhabited Israeli settlements or outposts are present in the current territory of the Gaza Strip on 31 December 2035.
- The legality of these settlements or outposts under Israeli law does not matter for this question to resolve YES.
- Update 2025-08-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Military outposts are excluded.
- Only civilian Israeli settlements or outposts count.
- If a military outpost is later converted into a civilian settlement/outpost, it counts only if it is inhabited and present in Gaza on 2035-12-31.
- Update 2025-08-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Edge cases (e.g., a single tent/unauthorized encampment): Counts only if reliable sources classify it as an Israeli outpost.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be Israeli settlements in Gaza on Dec 31st, 2035? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 57% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be Israeli settlements in Gaza on Dec 31st, 2035? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be Israeli settlements in Gaza on Dec 31st, 2035? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2035.
- Comment Will there be Israeli settlements in Gaza on Dec 31st, 2035? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if any inhabited Israeli settlements or outposts are present in the current territory of the Gaza Strip on 31 December 2035.