Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 67.5%
Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète18 janv. 24, 03:58 UTC31 déc. 29, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
🇺🇸💥🇪🇺 Will there be a war between the United States and an EU country or European Union as a whole by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a war between the United States and China before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a war over AI before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
PolymarketIndia strike on Pakistan by which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if there is a Wikipedia page called something like 202X Iran-Pakistan War (MUST contain the word war)
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Iranian_missile_strikes_in_Pakistan
- I will not bet in this market
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
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- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 68% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan before 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if there is a Wikipedia page called something like 202X Iran-Pakistan War (MUST contain the word war)