PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 13%-1.0ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
57 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
7,2 €
Liquidité
11,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
69
Variation 7j
-3.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
14 oct. 25, 13:04 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will India settle their Kashmir conflict with Pakistan before January 1st 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Pakistan have a major civil war by the end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill islamist group(s) take over Pakistan before 2035?
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PolymarketYoon out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if India initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Pakistani territory by the named outcome, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes").
- Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.
- Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour India strike on Pakistan by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote December à 13% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand India strike on Pakistan by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- India strike on Pakistan by which date? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment India strike on Pakistan by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if India initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Pakistani territory by the named outcome, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.