Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 65.2%
Prévisionnistes
39
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 37 minutes
3 janv. 26, 15:13 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel and Hezbollah have a major war before January 1st, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a major war in Asia occur during Donald Trumps Presidency?
Manifold MarketsIf the US fights a major war with China, will the US win?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRègles
As judged by the Wikipedia "major war" category, once all 2026 updates are in (presumably early 2027).
- @/EvanDaniel/will-there-be-a-newly-major-war-inv-2LO0IgPqzz
- @/Symmetry/will-a-new-major-war-break-out-in-2-8tl6CEuhl2