Will Israel and Hezbollah have a major war before January 1st, 2030?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffMiddle East3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 67%
Prévisionnistes
46
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète8 mai 24, 20:22 UTC1 janv. 30, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
10,000 casualties or more within a month constitutes a major war.
- To make it more clear, a month is a calendar month, not a 30 day period.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Israel and Hezbollah have a major war before January 1st, 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 67% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Israel and Hezbollah have a major war before January 1st, 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Israel and Hezbollah have a major war before January 1st, 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will Israel and Hezbollah have a major war before January 1st, 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : 10,000 casualties or more within a month constitutes a major war.