Will there be a major attack on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2030?
One-OffGéopolitique3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 81.5%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète23 août 23, 12:20 UTC29 déc. 29, 12:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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ForecastExRègles
The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) will have a large effect on the water politics in the region.
- This question will resolve yes in the case of a successful attack that causes at least $1,000,000 USD worth of damages, or in the case of a thwarted/repelled imminent attack that intended to and reasonably could have caused this amount of damage.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be a major attack on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 82% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be a major attack on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be a major attack on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2030? doit être résolu le 29 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will there be a major attack on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) will have a large effect on the water politics in the region.