Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 95.8%
Prévisionnistes
119
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 heures
Obsolète1 janv. 26, 01:35 UTC2 janv. 27, 02:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI before 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
KalshiWill OpenAI publicly claim a solution to a SECOND Millennium Prize Problem by November 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
KalshiRègles
Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if at least one of the six remaining Millennium Prize Problems is solved in 2026.
- A problem is considered solved if:
- A complete proof is published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal of worldwide repute, OR
- There is consensus among leading experts in the relevant field that the problem has been solved
- The proof must be published in a refereed mathematics publication of worldwide repute and achieve general acceptance in the mathematics community.
