Will "Simplex Progress Report - July 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
One-OffScience4moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 86.1%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète7 sept. 25, 04:45 UTC1 févr. 27, 00:00 UTC
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KalshiRègles
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Simplex Progress Report - July 2025 is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will "Simplex Progress Report - July 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 86% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will "Simplex Progress Report - July 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will "Simplex Progress Report - July 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? doit être résolu le 1 février 2027.
- Comment Will "Simplex Progress Report - July 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.