Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 53.7%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète25 févr. 25, 03:54 UTC30 nov. 26, 10:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump pardon more people during his second term than any president during a single term in history?
Manifold MarketsUS Average Gas Price Is $4.100 or more on Election Day 2026?
Manifold MarketsGas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans have high turnout of voters in 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Argentina dollarize its economy before 2028?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market would predict whether the National Party-led coalition government in New Zealand (formed after the 2023 election with ACT and New Zealand First) will lose power at the next general election, expected in late 2026.
- Market Resolution Criteria
- YES: The National Party and its coalition partners lose their parliamentary majority in the next general election, and a different party/coalition forms government.
- NO: The National Party and at least some of its coalition partners retain power after the next general election.
- Key Forecasting Factors
- Government Performance
