Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate?
InflationPolitiqueOne-OffCommoditiesUS PoliticsÉlection1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 51%
Prévisionnistes
36
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète5 avr. 26, 18:51 UTC5 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
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Manifold MarketsWill the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?
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KalshiHow many House and Senate seats will Dems control after the 2026 midterms?
PredictItRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "YES" if both of the following conditions are met:
- The national average price of a gallon of regular gasoline reaches or exceeds $4.50 at any point between April 5, 2026, and the date of the 2026 midterm elections.
- This data will be verified using the AAA Gas Prices national average tracker.
- The Democratic Party holds a majority of seats in both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate following the results of the 2026 midterm elections.
- The market resolves to "NO" if gasoline prices do not reach or exceed $4.50 during the specified timeframe, or if the Democratic Party fails to secure control of either chamber of Congress.
Marchés ouverts
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 89,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 541,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 30,7 k €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 334,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 77,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,5 k €
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 51% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate? doit être résolu le 5 novembre 2026.
- Comment Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria