Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffMiddle East3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 69.4%
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59
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète29 janv. 24, 10:42 UTC29 déc. 29, 00:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
An undeclared war is festering all along the hill country that separates Israel and Lebanon.
- It involves nearly as many troops as the war in the Gaza Strip.
- So far it's a largely static battle of missiles, artillery, bombing raids and stealthy infiltration On the Lebanese side, around 74,500 people have been displaced by the fighting, the Israeli military says more than 1,700 rockets have been fired from Lebanon toward Israel) Lebanon does not recognise Israel as a country and does not accept Israeli passports. however war for Lebanon an already economically crippled country would be disastrous for their infrastructure and already damaged economy which is still recovering from the Beirut explosion on the 4th of August 2020.
- Question closes when either Israel-Hamas Conflict is resolved or war is declared between Lebanon and Israel.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 69% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict? doit être résolu le 29 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : An undeclared war is festering all along the hill country that separates Israel and Lebanon.