Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 81.7%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète22 avr. 26, 11:51 UTC31 déc. 50, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Source: The government of Kazakhstan openly declares that Kazakhstan is a nuclear power now.
- P.S. I won't be on this market
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 581,3 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- 55,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 96,8 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Kazakhstan get a nuclear bomb before end of 2050? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 82% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Kazakhstan get a nuclear bomb before end of 2050? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Kazakhstan get a nuclear bomb before end of 2050? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2050.
- Comment Will Kazakhstan get a nuclear bomb before end of 2050? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Source: The government of Kazakhstan openly declares that Kazakhstan is a nuclear power now.