Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.2%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète15 mai 25, 02:36 UTC2 juil. 27, 02:34 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will I make Cambridge camp in 2027
Manifold MarketsWill a woman win the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics?
Manifold MarketsWill a theory of everything (a theory that unites relativity and quantum mechanics) be found in physics by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a major paradigm shift in physics, like Newtonian to Modern Physics, by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRègles
This resolves yes if and only if I qualify for the U.S. Physics Team at some point before I graduate from high school.
