Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 54.8%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète29 mai 26, 19:30 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will I ever make physics camp?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiNobel Prize in Chemistry: 2026
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if I get invited by UKMT to attend the IMO training camp in Trinity College, Cambridge in 2027.
- This still resolves YES if I do not attend or if the camp is cancelled.
- Resolves NO if I am not invited.
- For context I achieved 31/60 in BMO1 this year and 16/40 in BMO2.