Will there be a major paradigm shift in physics, like Newtonian to Modern Physics, by the end of 2040?
One-OffScience14aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 59.8%
Prévisionnistes
77
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
14 janv. 24, 12:56 UTC1 janv. 41, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a woman win the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics?
Manifold MarketsWill a theory of everything (a theory that unites relativity and quantum mechanics) be found in physics by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill I ever make physics camp?
Manifold MarketsWill Tumbles become convinced that local realism is false before 2027? (quantum physics)
Manifold MarketsWill there be a major hurricane landfall within 50 miles of Harris, Texas in 2026?
ForecastExWill there be a major hurricane landfall within 50 miles of Texas in 2026?
ForecastExRègles
YES Resolution: This question resolves to YES if, by December 31, 2040, there is a widely recognized and significant paradigm shift in the field of physics, changing our fundamental understanding of the universe in a way comparable to the shift from Newtonian to Modern Physics.
- NO Resolution: If no such paradigm shift is recognized by the end of 2040, the market resolves to NO.
- Recognition of Shift: The shift must be acknowledged by the scientific community and reported in major scientific publications or mainstream media as a "fundamental change in the understanding of physical laws or principles".
- Understanding 'Paradigm Shift': A paradigm shift, in this context, refers to a fundamental change in the basic concepts, experimental practices, and theories that form the foundation of scientific understanding in physics.
- Areas of Potential Shift: Key areas that could indicate such a shift include the unification of gravity and quantum mechanics, significant revelations about dark matter and dark energy, advancements in Quantum Field Theory, emergent phenomena in complex systems, transformative technological innovations, unexpected experimental discoveries, or major philosophical or conceptual shifts .etc.
