Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 54.4%
Prévisionnistes
28
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète27 mai 25, 19:34 UTC28 mai 40, 19:19 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will be the most numerous type of fusion power plant in 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump follow through on his power plant/bridge threats?
Manifold MarketsWhich year will the first nuclear power plant in Poland start producing power?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion Energy have a power plant in operation by the end of 2028?
ForecastExWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiFed Decision in September?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if a nuclear fission or NO if a nuclear fusion power plant is operational, whichever happens first (market to be extended if necessary).
- The reactor must be located in Germany and electricity must be fed into the grid (reactors only for research or isotope production don't count).
Marchés ouverts
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 34,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volume total
- 3,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 45,5 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volume total
- 997 k €
- Volume 24h
- 41,2 k €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 54% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion? doit être résolu le 28 mai 2040.
- Comment Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if a nuclear fission or NO if a nuclear fusion power plant is operational, whichever happens first (market to be extended if necessary).