Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 16:00 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleWill not happen by the end of 2040 37.4%En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
28
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète17 nov. 23, 10:12 UTC31 déc. 40, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Russia and China have an operational nuclear power plant on the moon by EOY 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill any new Nuclear Power Plants start producing power in America by the end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill any new Nuclear Power Plants start producing power in America by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the first SMR nuclear power plant in Poland produce energy before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion Energy have a power plant in operation by the end of 2028?
ForecastExWill any country become a new nuclear power in 2026?
FutuurRègles
Currently, one is planned to start building in 2026, and operation in 2033.
- This will resolve to the first year in which a non-experimental, grid-scale reactor will be providing power (over 100 MWe) to the national grid for at least a week continuously.
