Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 76.4%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète12 févr. 26, 06:13 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiWill the next German Chancellor be elected with AfD support?
Manifold MarketsWho replaces Merz as Chancellor if he gets replaced before the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill Alice Weidel become next German chancellor before 2030?
Manifold MarketsFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
PolymarketNext Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Ed Miliband becomes Chancellor of the Exchequer at any point before the end of 2029.
- Resolution will be verified through official UK government sources, specifically the GOV.UK Chancellor of the Exchequer page.
- The market resolves NO if Miliband does not hold this position by December 31, 2029.
- Ed Miliband currently serves as Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero since July 2024.
- He was Leader of the Labour Party and Leader of the Opposition from 2010 to 2015.