Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 95.1%
Prévisionnistes
172
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète28 févr. 23, 15:09 UTC31 déc. 29, 21:01 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved?
Manifold MarketsWill at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved with zero to minimal AI use?
Manifold MarketsWhen will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Millenium Problems
- This market will be resolved to:
- YES -- if by the 1st of January, 2030 a proof recognized by the Clay Mathematics Institute is published
- NO -- otherwise