KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesAucune activité de trading
Données au 15 sept. 2026, 16:52 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before 2028 0%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
29 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
12 sept. 26, 22:00 UTC7 janv. 28, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
All Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY?
Manifold MarketsAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many of the 7 Millennium Prize Problems will be solved by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2028 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Washington PostThe Economistthe Clay Mathematics Institutethe New York TimesBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street Journalthe American Mathematical Societythe International Mathematical UnionThe Guardianthe Associated PressReuters
- For purposes of this Contract, Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP Problem, Riemann Hypothesis, and Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem is considered resolved if at least one of the following occurs and has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time:
- A peer-reviewed article presenting a complete proof, a complete disproof, or a counterexample establishing the falsity of the conjecture, in the conjecture's original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, has been published in one or more Source Agency peer-reviewed journals.
- A recognized authoritative body for the academic field of the conjecture, including but not limited to Annals of Mathematics, the American Mathematical Society, the International Mathematical Union, a national academy of sciences, the Nobel Foundation, or an equivalent governing or recognition body for the relevant academic field, has officially recognized in a written communication that the conjecture, in its original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.
- At least two Source Agencies have published reporting describing the conjecture, in its original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, as having been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work, and no Source Agency has, prior to the Expiration time, published reporting that such written work has been formally retracted by its author(s) or by any publishing journal, has been formally withdrawn or repudiated by its author(s), or contains an identified error that has not been publicly corrected or addressed by the author(s) in a subsequent publication or amendment.
- If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2029 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.3pt4%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 58,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 460,9 k €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt21%
- Before 2028-1.0pt13%
- Before 20276%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 29,3 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- No+6.0pt86%
- Yes-6.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 20,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,4 k €
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 203580%
- Before 2030+0.1pt71%
- Before 2029+0.1pt30%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 257,2 k €
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0-8.0pt31%
- Above 1-2.0pt13%
- Above 2-4.0pt6%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+1.0pt51%
- Before 203247%
- Before 203030%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 118,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,1 k €
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
- When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved? ?
- Kalshi cote Before 2028 à 0% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved? doit être résolu le 7 janvier 2028.
- Comment When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2028 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.