Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030?
IAOne-Off3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 96%
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
6 janv. 24, 20:21 UTC1 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Update 2026-09-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will only resolve once the Clay Millennium Prize is officially awarded, which typically carries a two-year waiting period.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-2.0pt59.8%
- 2027-8.0pt30.8%
- 2026+1.0pt9.3%
- Volume total
- 225,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 157 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,4 M €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.5pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.7%
- Grok-2.4pt5.7%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+7.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt79.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.8%
- Gemini2.7%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 348,3 k €
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- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
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- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 96% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Update 2026-09-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will only resolve once the Clay Millennium Prize is officially awarded, which typically carries a two-year waiting period.