Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 68.1%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète27 juin 26, 06:47 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
PolymarketHow many times will the Trump admin and/or NVIDIA flip-flop on giving NVIDIA chips to China before 2028? (fun)
Manifold MarketsWill it be revealed strategic AI chips Trump has allowed the UAE to buy have strategically benefited China's AI program?
Manifold MarketsWill China and the US become AI partners in 2026? Removal of chips sanction or a co-developed LLM.
Manifold MarketsWill Huawei ship at least one million 910C chips in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Nvidia's Blackwell chips be sold in China by the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if, before January 1, 2028, Apple officially announces, or credible financial/tech news organizations report, that Apple has contracted for, purchased, or begun commercially sourcing memory chips from a supplier headquartered in mainland China for use in commercially distributed Apple products.
- “Sourcing” means procuring chips intended for commercial mass production.
- Chips used solely for engineering validation, design validation, internal testing, prototypes, or other non-public products do not count.
- Memory chips include DRAM, NAND flash, HBM, or other semiconductor memory.
- Eligible suppliers include, but are not limited to, ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) and Yangtze Memory Technologies Corporation (YMTC).