Will China and the US become AI partners in 2026? Removal of chips sanction or a co-developed LLM.
GéopolitiqueOne-OffChinaIA3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 86.3%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète24 févr. 26, 09:51 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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PolymarketRègles
The world’s best designer and the world’s best manufacturer.
- > Resolves YES if either of the following occurs by December 31, 2026:
- > AI Chip Sanctions Lifted: The US officially removes export controls on current-generation, high-performance AI chips (e.g., top-tier data center GPUs) to China.
- Minor exceptions for legacy chips do not count.
- > Co-Developed Frontier LLM: Major US and Chinese entities (state or private sector) formally announce a joint venture or partnership to co-develop a frontier Large Language Model.
- Informal, ad-hoc open-source contributions do not count.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will China and the US become AI partners in 2026? Removal of chips sanction or a co-developed LLM. ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 86% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will China and the US become AI partners in 2026? Removal of chips sanction or a co-developed LLM. sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will China and the US become AI partners in 2026? Removal of chips sanction or a co-developed LLM. doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will China and the US become AI partners in 2026? Removal of chips sanction or a co-developed LLM. est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The world’s best designer and the world’s best manufacturer.