Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 93.1%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète8 sept. 23, 19:32 UTC1 févr. 27, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
António Guterres out by December 31?
PolymarketWill an Italian conservative party remain in office until 2027 ?
Manifold MarketsWill Mark Carney remain in office as Prime Minister of Canada through the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich of Brazil's military commanders will remain in office through the end of 2026?
FutuurTrump dies in office during his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump get impeached by the House before the end of his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsRègles
António Guterres is the SecGen of the UN.
- His 2nd term began on 1st of Jan 2022 and will end in 2027.
- This will resolve as no if he does not complete his 2nd term for any reason - resignation, death, etc.