Which of Brazil's military commanders will remain in office through the end of 2026?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffAmérique latine2mois
FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva) 92%En tête parmi 3 options
Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva) 92%Qualité du marché
25 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1 k €
Faible liquiditéTraders
15
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will an Italian conservative party remain in office until 2027 ?
Manifold MarketsWill Mark Carney remain in office as Prime Minister of Canada through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill António Guterres remain in office until the end of his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsA child of Elon Musk will hold high political office through 2050
Manifold MarketsFlávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?
PolymarketCollege Football Teams to Qualify for a Bowl Game
KalshiRègles
This event predicts whether Brazil's military commanders will remain in office through December 31, 2026, 23:59:59 UTC.
- Remaining in office means that the listed individual continues to officially hold the position of Commander of the respective armed force (Army, Airforce or Marine), regardless of temporary absences due to health or other reasons, provided no formal dismissal or replacement is announced.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is official announcements or publications by the Brazilian federal government or the Ministry of Defense confirming the appointment status of the Commander of the Air Force, the Army or the Marine.
- If the listed individual or an official government spokesperson publicly announces their departure, dismissal, or replacement as Commander before the end of 2026, these markets will resolve according to that announcement without waiting for the effective date of departure.
- These markets will be resolved based on the substantive outcome—whether he officially retains the post—and not minor technicalities of timing or ceremony.
- If no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.