Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?
One-OffScience5aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 94.6%
Prévisionnistes
44
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
29 sept. 23, 00:01 UTC2 janv. 32, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI before 2032?
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KalshiRègles
This will resolve YES as soon as the Clay Mathematics Institute makes a definitive indication that a solution is correct, provided that it was published by the end of the day GMT December 31, 2030.
- It will resolve NO at any point after the end of 2030 at which all claimed solutions published before EOD 12/31/2030 have been refuted.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2032.
- Comment Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This will resolve YES as soon as the Clay Mathematics Institute makes a definitive indication that a solution is correct, provided that it was published by the end of the day GMT December 31, 2030.