Will 10 or more people be injured or killed in a dispute/conflict between Turkey and Greece, prior to 2030
GéopolitiqueOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 72%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète11 mai 23, 16:59 UTC31 déc. 29, 20:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
100 military deaths in a conflict between Israel and Turkey before 2030?
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PolymarketIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve yes if it is reported (in a reputable fashion) by Wikipedia that 10 or more peeople are injured/killed in a dispute/conflict between Turkey and Greece after the start date of this market.
- I will likely refer to this page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aegean_dispute, however any Wikipedia page counts (I'm more or less intending to use it as a news aggregator in this case).
- If multiple reputable sources for >10 people being injured/killed are posted in the comments, I am likely to count that as well.
- I will verify the source shown on Wikipedia, and will not resolve this market to yes if it seems like the source is false.
- If the reputability of the source becomes a contentious point, I will attempt to compensate an (uninvested) Admin to resolve this market.
- I will not bet in this market.