When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict? [METACULUS]
Géopolitique3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBy 2030-01-01 73.4%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète11 oct. 25, 17:04 UTC30 janv. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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FutuurUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves according to this Metaculus question:
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/18546)If that question is unavailable, I'll do my best to resolve in the same spirit.
- Individual questions may resolve some time after the date passes, depending on conditions and my judgment; sometimes Metaculus resolves to dates in the past and I don't want to have a re-resolution situation.
