When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict? [METACULUS]
Géopolitique3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBy 2030-01-01 69.5%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète11 oct. 25, 17:04 UTC30 janv. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?
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FutuurRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketRègles
Resolves according to this Metaculus question:
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/18546)If that question is unavailable, I'll do my best to resolve in the same spirit.
- Individual questions may resolve some time after the date passes, depending on conditions and my judgment; sometimes Metaculus resolves to dates in the past and I don't want to have a re-resolution situation.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict? [METACULUS] ?
- Manifold Markets cote By 2030-01-01 à 70% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict? [METACULUS] sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict? [METACULUS] doit être résolu le 30 janvier 2030.
- Comment When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict? [METACULUS] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves according to this Metaculus question: