Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Global Pandemic 62.4%En tête parmi 6 options
Global Pandemic 62.4%Prévisionnistes
37
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète25 juin 24, 20:24 UTC1 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a global catastrophe kill at least 10% of humans before 2030, and what will be the cause?
Manifold MarketsWill a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill flatback posture be confirmed as the primary cause of schizophrenia by 2030?
Manifold MarketsIn 2030, what will consensus say is the primary cause of the increase in gender dysphoria over the past few decades?
Manifold MarketsIf AI kills everyone, how will it do it?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk come out against one of the following consensus positions before the end of 2026? (Add answers)
Manifold MarketsRègles
Will we be bowing down to AI, or mother Nature will have the last laugh with a climate calamity, or global tensions will erupt in a nuclear showdown.
- Could it be that our economic systems will crumble under their own weight?
