Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 68.3%
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
17 févr. 26, 10:27 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?
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PolymarketUnemployment rate in Nov 2026?
KalshiUnemployment rate in Oct 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if FRED's Unemployment Rate - College Graduates - Bachelor's Degree, 20 to 24 years (CGBD2024) is higher on average from January to December 2026 (inclusive) than from January to December 2025.
- If certain months are missing, they are ignored when calculating the average.
- The averages will be calculated using the series' values whenever the first entry for 2027 is released, so revisions before this date count, but any subsequent revisions do not.