Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?
ÉconomieOne-OffMacro & Economy3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.8%
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8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète30 mai 25, 20:04 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?
Manifold MarketsUnemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?
Manifold MarketsUS unemployment rate at year-end 2029
KalshiMexico unemployment rate in August
KalshiUnemployment rate in Sep 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if the unemployment for recent US college grads exceeds 25% at any point before 2030.
- Source: U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey (IPUMS)
- https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/college-labor-market#--:explore:unemployment
- Context: The highest data-point so far was 13.4% in May 2020 at the beginning of COVID.
- 2035 market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/unemployment-rate-for-recent-us-col-zQPLNstLPp
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 91% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if the unemployment for recent US college grads exceeds 25% at any point before 2030.