KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Exactly 4.2% 20%En tête parmi 23 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
2,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
15 déc. 25, 15:00 UTC6 nov. 26, 13:29 UTC
Tendances
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
KalshiUnemployment rate in Nov 2026?
KalshiFed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
KalshiSeptember Unemployment Rate
PolymarketUnemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich EU country will have the highest unemployment rate?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.4% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.5% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.6% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.7% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.8% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 91 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 569,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 47,4 k €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 359,2 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 16,4 k €
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-8.0pt86%
- Above -4.0% of GDP+1.0pt51%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-3.0pt22%
- Volume total
- 314,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 9,5 k €
- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote Exactly 4.2% à 20% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? doit être résolu le 6 novembre 2026.
- Comment Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Manifold Markets.