Will the October 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?

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Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the October 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 84.4% au 30 octobre 2026.

Quand Will the October 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will the October 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%? doit être résolu le 6 novembre 2026.

Où Will the October 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%? est-il également listé ?

La même question est également listée sur Polymarket, Kalshi.

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KALSHI

Recession this year?

• No97.5%
• Yes-1.0pt2.5%

Volume total

3,4 M €

Volume 24h

33,4 k €

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.1%98.5%
• Above 3.2%98.5%

KALSHI

US real GDP growth in 2026?

• 2.1% to 2.5%+16.2pt83.1%
• 1.6% to 2.0%-5.6pt12.3%
• 2.6% to 3.0%-8.1pt

KALSHI

Recession in 2027?

• No81%
• Yes-4.0pt19%

Volume total

701,9 k €

Volume 24h

15,2 k €

POLYMARKET

US recession by end of 2026?

• No-1.5pt93%
• Yes+1.5pt7%

Volume total

2,2 M €

Volume 24h

12,1 k €

KALSHI

Australia Nominal GDP in 2026

• Above $1.7 trillion94.5%
• Above $1.8 trillion92.5%
• Above $1.6 trillion98%

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