Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 92.7%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète18 sept. 25, 16:13 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsIn the next UK general election, Will Reform UK and Restore Britain be top 2 in any seat?
Manifold MarketsNational Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?
PolymarketNational Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?
PolymarketWill Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by which date?
PolymarketWill Antoine Griezmann ever play for the French national team again?
Manifold MarketsRègles
For a party to be in power, the party must either control the executive branch or be part of a ruling coalition in the legislature.
- If a party is renamed or combines with another, that new party counts as well.
Marchés ouverts
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-3.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 494,6 k €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-3.0pt84.2%
- Yes+3.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- 809,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 123,4 k €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.4pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3122%
- October 31+2.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Reform UK, French National Rally, and AfD all in power simultaneously this decade? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 93% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Reform UK, French National Rally, and AfD all in power simultaneously this decade? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Reform UK, French National Rally, and AfD all in power simultaneously this decade? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Reform UK, French National Rally, and AfD all in power simultaneously this decade? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : For a party to be in power, the party must either control the executive branch or be part of a ruling coalition in the legislature.