Probabilité implicite actuelle
March 31, 2027 28%-2.5pt
Qualité du marché
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
5,8 k €
Liquidité
13 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
19.0% / 20.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
23
Variation 7j
+5.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
24 juin 26, 09:44 UTC1 avr. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage Exit Date
SmarketsHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent
KalshiNext Reform Leader
SmarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.