Prévision communautaire actuelle
Other 27.5%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète11 mars 25, 19:38 UTC1 janv. 40, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketWill Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage Exit Date
SmarketsHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent
KalshiRègles
Reform UK is a right-wing political party in the United Kingdom.
- Founded as the Brexit Party in 2018, its current leader is Nigel Farage, who was previously the leader of the UK Independence Party (UKIP).
- At the 2024 UK general election, the party won 5 out of 650 constituencies in the House of Commons.
- This market resolves to the next permanent leader of the party, following Nigel Farage.
- Interim leaders do not count.
- This market will not resolve to Farage, even if he is replaced by an interim leader and then comes back as a permanent leader.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Other à 28% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2040.
- Comment Who will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Reform UK is a right-wing political party in the United Kingdom.