Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
Corporate ActionsPolitiqueOne-OffÉlection3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 70.2%
Prévisionnistes
45
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète5 janv. 25, 15:07 UTC1 janv. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if Wikipedia and/or Reform’s official website list Nigel Farage as party leader on polling day of the next UK general election after July 2024.
- Resolves NO if there is no Reform UK party candidate standing due to merger or lack of candidates.
- If Reform UK rebrand but otherwise remain relatively unchanged in terms of MPs and membership then this will resolve based on the new party name.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 70% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if Wikipedia and/or Reform’s official website list Nigel Farage as party leader on polling day of the next UK general election after July 2024.