Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?

One-OffPolitique Europe5mo

KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais

Probabilité implicite actuelle

Before Jan 1, 2027 15%

Qualite du marche

77 / 100

Haute qualité

Volume 24h

5,6 k €

Liquidité

4,6 k €

Liquidité moyenne

Achat / Vente

22.0% / 23.0%

Spread

4.5%

Spread modéré

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes

7 juil. 26, 16:371 janv. 27, 4:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier

Résultat choisi

Before Jan 1, 202715%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to "No."

Tendance du volume

$6.4k

7 juil.2j de données8 juil.

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Early elections in the UK announced?

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FUTUUR

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MANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,300.71-1.74%

EthereumETH$1,748.78-1.90%

SolanaSOL$77.59-4.59%

DogecoinDOGE$0.072-3.76%

XRPXRP$1.09-3.40%

BNBBNB$565.40-2.58%

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Règles

If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to "No."

Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?

One-OffPolitique Europe5mo

KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais

Probabilité implicite actuelle

Before Jan 1, 2027 15%

Qualite du marche

77 / 100

Haute qualité

Volume 24h

5,6 k €

Liquidité

4,6 k €

Liquidité moyenne

Achat / Vente

22.0% / 23.0%

Spread

4.5%

Spread modéré

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes

7 juil. 26, 16:371 janv. 27, 4:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier

Résultat choisi

Before Jan 1, 202715%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to "No."

Tendance du volume

$6.4k

7 juil.2j de données8 juil.

Marchés Associés

Next French Presidential Election

1,5 M €

Marine Le Pen: 26%

POLYMARKET

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

259,5 k €

United Russia (ER): 55%

POLYMARKET

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

165,3 k €

Oui: 19%

POLYMARKET

Early elections in the UK announced?

4,5 k €

Before Jan 1, 2027: 10%

KALSHI

Keir Starmer out as UK’s prime minister by ...?

2,9 k €

December 31: 98%

FUTUUR

Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?

2,7 k €

Jeremy Clarkson: 1.3%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,300.71-1.74%

EthereumETH$1,748.78-1.90%

SolanaSOL$77.59-4.59%

DogecoinDOGE$0.072-3.76%

XRPXRP$1.09-3.40%

BNBBNB$565.40-2.58%

Actualités Associées

Tether abandons Europe as MiCA ban wipes USDT from exchangesCrypto News

Europe's MiCA rollout sparks debate over who wins under new crypto rulesCoindesk

Last-minute MiCA approvals mark end of EU transition periodCointelegraph

Europe’s MiCA crypto regime is fully in force: Here’s who wins and losesThe Block

Why Poland is the only EU country where crypto firms can't get a MiCA licenseCoindesk

Lapid alleges Netanyahu "satellite parties" as Polymarket backs Eizenkot 41.6%Blockchain.News

Règles

If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to "No."