KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 1, 2027 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 1, 2027 8.5%
Before Jan 1, 2027 8.5%Qualité du marché
53 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
60,9 €
Intérêt ouvert
11 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2027Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
7 juil. 26, 16:37 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdu
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 1, 2027
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketNigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026?
Manifold MarketsJeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
KalshiJohn Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader?
KalshiRègles
If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Nigel FarageThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersReform UKCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.