KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027 21%+1.0pt
Qualité du marché
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
7,8 €
Liquidité
9,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
17.0% / 21.0%
Écart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
7 juil. 26, 16:37 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketNigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027?
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KalshiWill Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Nigel FarageThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersReform UKCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2027 à 21% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.