Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 61.9%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète31 juil. 26, 00:53 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Nigel Farage was under investigation by the UK Parliament's Standards Commissioner before resigning as an MP to stand in the Clacton byelection on 13th August 2026.
- Should he be re-elected, the investigation will resume.
- Depending on the outcome of the investigation he may then face a second byelection.
- Resolves YES if Nigel Farage is a candidate in a second Clacton byelection between 13th August and 31st December 2026.
- Resolves NO if there is no second byelection, or if one does take place but Farage is not officially listed as a candidate.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 62% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Nigel Farage was under investigation by the UK Parliament's Standards Commissioner before resigning as an MP to stand in the Clacton byelection on 13th August 2026.