Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 78%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
4 sept. 26, 08:14 UTC28 févr. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketWill Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage Exit Date
SmarketsHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent
KalshiRègles
Reform have been exposed accepting foreign donations by an undercover investigation provided to Channel 4.
- This is while a Parliamentary investigation is ongoing into a £5 million donate Farage received.
- This market asks: does Farage leave his post before 1st March 2027? Resolves YES if there is a statement from either Farage himself or from Reform UK that he will not be holding the post of leader.
- He does not have to leave Reform UK or resign as an MP for a YES resolution to be triggered, this is solely about his position as leader of the political party.