Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 47 minutes
En retard18 sept. 23, 21:23 UTC2 janv. 28, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
A Humanoid Robot Kills a Human by 2028
Manifold MarketsAn American quickly has at least 15 children in a 2 year interval, anytime through 2027
Manifold MarketsMMA fight in space anytime through 2027
Manifold MarketsHumanoid robot kills human in Ukrain war in 2026?
Manifold MarketsCanelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli
KalshiFight Night: Francis Marshall vs Dakota Hope
KalshiRègles
Any human will be killed by an alien creature.
- On earth is included.
- They can be killed personally or via destruction of their ship.
- But it must be violent or physical.
- It can't be by for example, redirecting their food resupply ship so the human starves.
- It has to be violent or physical and initiated by the alien.
