Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 67%
Prévisionnistes
73
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard2 févr. 24, 05:24 UTC2 janv. 28, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Humanoid robot kills human in Ukrain war in 2026?
Manifold MarketsA humanoid robot kills a human by 2030
Manifold MarketsAlien creature kills human anytime through 2038
Manifold MarketsSpaceX kills a human in a rocket by 2035
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolves Yes if there's credible news coverage of a humanoid robot causing a human death by 2028.
- Has to be unaided by other tech.
- Could be an accident, ie the falling on the person.
- Must be a humanoid.
