An American quickly has at least 15 children in a 2 year interval, anytime through 2027
One-OffSociety & Culture1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 66.6%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète26 sept. 23, 20:01 UTC2 janv. 28, 07:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
They must be American and living in the USA, reported by US media.
- They must have multiple children via wives/surrogates/etc such that there is a time interval of 2 years such that there are at least 15 children born within it.
- The person of interest can be the father or mother, as long as the children are substantially their genetic children (some minor genetic modification may be allowed)
- e.g. this story, where through surrogates, they have a huge number of children with birthdays just a few months apart: - children ages: Mustafa, 19 months; Mariam, 18 months; Ayrin, 18 months; Alisa, 18 months; Hasan, 17 months; Judi, 17 months; Harper, 16 months; Teresa, 16 months; Huseyin, 16 months and Anna, 15 months.
- https://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-10934703/Russian-woman-21-babies-Turkish-millionaire-devastated-arrest.html
- [link preview]
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour An American quickly has at least 15 children in a 2 year interval, anytime through 2027 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 67% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand An American quickly has at least 15 children in a 2 year interval, anytime through 2027 sera-t-il résolu ?
- An American quickly has at least 15 children in a 2 year interval, anytime through 2027 doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2028.
- Comment An American quickly has at least 15 children in a 2 year interval, anytime through 2027 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : They must be American and living in the USA, reported by US media.