An American quickly has at least 15 children in a 2 year interval, anytime through 2027
One-OffSociété et culture1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 66.6%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète26 sept. 23, 20:01 UTC2 janv. 28, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
An American quickly has at least 30 children in a 2 year interval, anytime through 2028
Manifold MarketsAn American quickly has at least 160 children in a 4 year interval, anytime through 2036
Manifold MarketsAn American quickly has at least 90 children in a 3 year interval, anytime through 2031
Manifold MarketsAn American quickly has at least 50 children in a 3 year interval, anytime through 2031
Manifold MarketsDuolingo language rankings · #1 in 2026?
KalshiParis curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketRègles
They must be American and living in the USA, reported by US media.
- They must have multiple children via wives/surrogates/etc such that there is a time interval of 2 years such that there are at least 15 children born within it.
- The person of interest can be the father or mother, as long as the children are substantially their genetic children (some minor genetic modification may be allowed)
- e.g. this story, where through surrogates, they have a huge number of children with birthdays just a few months apart: - children ages: Mustafa, 19 months; Mariam, 18 months; Ayrin, 18 months; Alisa, 18 months; Hasan, 17 months; Judi, 17 months; Harper, 16 months; Teresa, 16 months; Huseyin, 16 months and Anna, 15 months.
- https://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-10934703/Russian-woman-21-babies-Turkish-millionaire-devastated-arrest.html
- [link preview]