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An American quickly has at least 50 children in a 3 year interval, anytime through 2031

One-OffSociety & Culture Health & Medicine5a

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 56%

Prévisionnistes

4

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 heure

En retard

26 sept. 23, 20:02 UTC2 janv. 32, 07:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

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Règles

They must be American and living in the USA, reported by US media.

They must have multiple children via wives/surrogates/etc such that there is a time interval of 3 years such that there are at least 50 children born within it.
The person of interest can be the father or mother, as long as the children are substantially their genetic children (some minor genetic modification may be allowed)
e.g. this story, where through surrogates, they have a huge number of children with birthdays just a few months apart: - children ages: Mustafa, 19 months; Mariam, 18 months; Ayrin, 18 months; Alisa, 18 months; Hasan, 17 months; Judi, 17 months; Harper, 16 months; Teresa, 16 months; Huseyin, 16 months and Anna, 15 months.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-10934703/Russian-woman-21-babies-Turkish-millionaire-devastated-arrest.html
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Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour An American quickly has at least 50 children in a 3 year interval, anytime through 2031 ?: Manifold Markets cote No à 56% au 9 septembre 2026.
Quand An American quickly has at least 50 children in a 3 year interval, anytime through 2031 sera-t-il résolu ?: An American quickly has at least 50 children in a 3 year interval, anytime through 2031 doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2032.
Comment An American quickly has at least 50 children in a 3 year interval, anytime through 2031 est-il réglé ?: Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : They must be American and living in the USA, reported by US media.

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